Central banks’ voting records and future policy

0388302 - NHU-C 2013 RIV US eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Horváth, R. - Šmídková, K. - Zápal, Jan
Central banks’ voting records and future policy.
International Journal of Central Banking. Roč. 8, č. 4 (2012), s. 1-19. ISSN 1815-4654. E-ISSN 1815-7556
Institucionální podpora: PRVOUK-P23
Klíčová slova: monetary policy * voting record * transparency
Kód oboru RIV: AH - Ekonomie
Impakt faktor: 0.895, rok: 2012
http://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb12q4a1.pdf

We assess whether the voting records of central bank boards are informative about future monetary policy using data on five inflation-targeting countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Sweden, and the United Kingdom). We find that in all countries the voting records, namely the difference between the average voted-for and actually implemented policy rate, signal future monetary policy, making a case for publishing the records. This result holds even if we control for the financial market expectations, include the voting records from the period covering the current global financial crisis, and examine the differences in timing and style of the voting record announcements.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0217155