Počet záznamů: 1

Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models

  1. 1.
    0368524 - UFA-U 2012 RIV AT eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
    Kyselý, Jan - Gaál, Ladislav - Beranová, Romana - Plavcová, Eva
    Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models.
    Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Roč. 104, 3-4 (2011), s. 529-542 ISSN 0177-798X
    Grant CEP: GA ČR GAP209/10/2265
    Grant ostatní: European Commission(XE) 505539
    Výzkumný záměr: CEZ:AV0Z30420517
    Klíčová slova: precipitation extremes * regional climate models * ENSEMBLES * climate change * region-of-influence method
    Kód oboru RIV: DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie
    Impakt faktor: 1.942, rok: 2011
    http://www.springerlink.com/content/95wj1140307nu5k7/fulltext.pdf http://www.springerlink.com/content/95wj1140307nu5k7/fulltext.pdf

    Future scenarios of precipitation extremes over Central Europe are examined in an ensemble of 12 regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the European project ENSEMBLES. We apply the region-of-influence method as a pooling scheme when estimating distributions of extremes. Most RCMs simulate increases in high quantiles of precipitation amounts for the late-21st century (2070-99) climate in both winter and summer. Although a qualitative agreement of the models concerning the projected changes of precipitation extremes is found in both winter and summer, the uncertainties in climate change scenarios remain large.
    Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0202847