Počet záznamů: 1
Limits of precipitation nowcasting by extrapolation of radar reflectivity for warm season in Central Europe
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SYSNO ASEP 0496793 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název Limits of precipitation nowcasting by extrapolation of radar reflectivity for warm season in Central Europe Tvůrce(i) Mejsnar, Jan (UFA-U) RID
Sokol, Zbyněk (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
Minářová, Jana (UFA-U) RID, ORCIDCelkový počet autorů 3 Zdroj.dok. Atmospheric Research. - : Elsevier - ISSN 0169-8095
Roč. 213, NOV 15 2018 (2018), s. 288-301Poč.str. 14 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. NL - Nizozemsko Klíč. slova part I ; Lagrangian extrapolation ; severe convection ; scale-dependence ; predictability ; forecasts ; ensemble ; tracking ; images ; verification Vědní obor RIV DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie Obor OECD Meteorology and atmospheric sciences Institucionální podpora UFA-U - RVO:68378289 UT WOS 000442169800024 EID SCOPUS 85048992160 DOI 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.06.005 Anotace Current precipitation nowcasting systems primarily use the extrapolation of observed radar reflectivity. The study focuses on both the extrapolation and the limits of predictability of precipitation using the concept of decorrelation time (DCT). The DCT analysis is based on reflectivity measurements from two radars covering the Czech Republic during the warm season (May-September) of four years (2009-2012). The analysis shows that that the mean DCT for the extrapolation forecast is 45.4 min, whereas the DCT for the persistent forecast is 13.4 min shorter. However, the DCT may increase or decrease by > 40% depending on current meteorological conditions. The investigation of the evolution of DCT in time during two storm events in the Czech Republic suggests that the DCT may significantly vary in time as a consequence of changing character of the precipitation systems. Pracoviště Ústav fyziky atmosféry Kontakt Kateřina Adamovičová, adamovicova@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 012 ; Kateřina Potužníková, kaca@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 019 Rok sběru 2019
Počet záznamů: 1