Počet záznamů: 1
Analysis of Meteorological Effects on the Incidence of Tick-borne Encephalitis in the Czech Republic over a Thirty-year Period
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SYSNO ASEP 0473776 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Ostatní články Název Analysis of Meteorological Effects on the Incidence of Tick-borne Encephalitis in the Czech Republic over a Thirty-year Period Tvůrce(i) Brabec, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCID
Daniel, M. (CZ)
Malý, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI
Danielová, V. (CZ)
Kříž, B. (CZ)
Kott, I. (CZ)
Beneš, Č. (CZ)Číslo článku March 13 Zdroj.dok. Virology: Research & Reviews - ISSN 2514-4138
Roč. 1, č. 1 (2017)Poč.str. 8 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. GB - Velká Británie Klíč. slova tick-borne encephalitis incidence ; Ixodes ricinus ; ambient temperature ; poisson model ; generalized additive model ; seasonal trends Vědní obor RIV BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum Obor OECD Statistics and probability Institucionální podpora UIVT-O - RVO:67985807 DOI 10.15761/VRR.1000103 Anotace The goal is to analyse the effect of climatic factors on the incidence of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in three adjacent, high-incidence regions of the Czech Republic (CZ) that differed considerably in the baseline incidence and in the timing of high incidence period. The basis for the analysis were the meteorological data from a 30-year database (1982-2011) of daily air temperature and precipitation measurements and time-matched reports of TBE cases defined by the onset of symptoms. A semi-parametric Poisson regression model revealed a statistically significant relationship between the average daily ambient air temperature and incidence of TBE. The shapes of the dependence were similar in all three regions under study. The analysis of the available data did not show a statistically significant relationship between the precipitation amount and incidence of TBE. Other statistically significant predictors were the trend over calendar years, monthly seasonality and trend-seasonality interaction (the shape of the monthly seasonality varies over years), and day of week. The climate changes had differentiated effects on TBE increase depending on the local environmental conditions as can be illustrated by the variations between the three regions not only in the TBE incidence level but also in the shape of the trend over years. Pracoviště Ústav informatiky Kontakt Tereza Šírová, sirova@cs.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 053 800 Rok sběru 2018
Počet záznamů: 1