Počet záznamů: 1
Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region
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SYSNO ASEP 0349905 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region Tvůrce(i) Kocmánková, E. (CZ)
Trnka, M. (CZ)
Eitzinger, J. (AT)
Formayer, H. (AT)
Dubrovský, Martin (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
Semerádová, Daniela (UEK-B) RID, ORCID, SAI
Žalud, Z. (CZ)
Juroch, J. (CZ)
Možný, M. (CZ)Zdroj.dok. Climate Research - ISSN 0936-577X
Roč. 44, č. 1 (2010), s. 95-105Poč.str. 11 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. DE - Německo Klíč. slova Climate change ; Pests ; Geographical distribution ; Altitude Vědní obor RIV DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie CEP GA521/08/1682 GA ČR - Grantová agentura ČR IAA300420806 GA AV ČR - Akademie věd CEZ AV0Z30420517 - UFA-U, BC-A (2005-2011) UT WOS 000284005500009 DOI 10.3354/cr00905 Anotace This study demonstrates the methodology and benefits of climate-driven modelling tools using the European corn borer (ECB) and Colorado potato beetle (CPB). CLIMEX models of the potential geographical distributions of each species were used to study the effects of climate change on ECB and CPB by estimating changes in population dynamics and/or infestation pressure during the first half of the 21st century. Simulations were conducted using 3 global circulation models and scaled by low and high values of global temperature change. The results predict an increase in newly established areas and in the number of pest generations per year. The ratio of arable land affected by a particular number of generations is also expected to increase. Another significant result is shown for higher altitudes currently unoccupied by pests. We recorded rapid generation increase (from 0 to 2), which supports the hypothesis that these areas are more affected by increased temperatures. Pracoviště Ústav fyziky atmosféry Kontakt Kateřina Adamovičová, adamovicova@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 012 ; Kateřina Potužníková, kaca@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 019 Rok sběru 2011
Počet záznamů: 1