Počet záznamů: 1
The Projected Changes in the Surface Energy Budget of the CMIP5 and EURO-CORDEX Models: Are We Heading toward Wetter Growing Seasons in Central Europe?
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SYSNO ASEP 0619487 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název The Projected Changes in the Surface Energy Budget of the CMIP5 and EURO-CORDEX Models: Are We Heading toward Wetter Growing Seasons in Central Europe? Tvůrce(i) Skalák, Petr (UEK-B) RID, SAI, ORCID
Meitner, Jan (UEK-B) ORCID, SAI, RID
Fischer, Milan (UEK-B) RID, ORCID, SAI
Orság, Matěj (UEK-B) RID, SAI, ORCID
Graf, A. (DE)
Hlavsová, Monika (UEK-B) RID, SAI, ORCID
Trnka, Miroslav (UEK-B) RID, ORCID, SAICelkový počet autorů 7 Zdroj.dok. Journal of Hydrometeorology - ISSN 1525-755X
Roč. 26, č. 4 (2025), s. 481-499Poč.str. 18 s. Forma vydání Online - E Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. US - Spojené státy americké Klíč. slova climate ; trends ; Europe ; Climate change ; Energy budget/balance ; Climate models Obor OECD Meteorology and atmospheric sciences CEP EH22_008/0004635 GA MŠMT - Ministerstvo školství, mládeže a tělovýchovy GA24-12935S GA ČR - Grantová agentura ČR Způsob publikování Open access Institucionální podpora UEK-B - RVO:86652079 UT WOS 001472476700001 EID SCOPUS 105004359216 DOI https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-24-0017.1 Anotace We analyze the surface energy budget from four climate model ensembles and its future changes in the twenty-first century under the RCP8.5 or shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 5-8.5 scenario. High-resolution European domain of the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) regional climate models (RCMs) and their driving CMIP5 global climate models (CMIP5-D) are first tested in central Europe against observational datasets. Evaluation reveals the added value of RCMs in terms of spatial variability and smaller biases. CMIP5-D are affected by the positive bias of global irradiance that propagates into other radiation and heat fluxes. There are strong differences in the projected surface energy budget components between RCMs and CMIP5-D. There is an increase in global irradiance for most of the year in CMIP5-D and other GCM ensembles that is translated into a year-round enhancement of the absorbed solar energy and balanced by higher latent heat flux, except in summer, when the sensible heat flux rises strongly. Together with strong warming and reduced precipitation in summer, this leads to warm, sunny, and dry conditions with reduced evapotranspiration and higher drought stress for vegetation. In the RCMs, the reduction in global irradiance dominates, and it is translated into a round-year reduction in the net balance of longwave radiation and stronger latent heat flux. The first months of the growing season show weaker warming associated with higher evapotranspiration and precipitation. In summer, precipitation drops and global irradiance and warming rise, but they fall behind the changes in the GCMs. Compared to GCMs, there are less visible signs of conditions leading to a reduction in evapotranspiration or a shortage of soil water in the RCMs in summer. Pracoviště Ústav výzkumu globální změny Kontakt Nikola Šviková, svikova.n@czechglobe.cz, Tel.: 511 192 268 Rok sběru 2026 Elektronická adresa https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/26/4/JHM-D-24-0017.1.xml
Počet záznamů: 1