Počet záznamů: 1
A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: the ISIMIP Lake Sector.
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SYSNO ASEP 0558637 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: the ISIMIP Lake Sector. Tvůrce(i) Golub, M. (SE)
Thiery, W. (CH)
Marcé, R. (ES)
Pierson, D. (SE)
Vanderkelen, I. (BE)
Mercado-Bettin, D. (ES)
Woolway, R. I. (GB)
Grant, L. (BE)
Jennings, E. (IE)
Kraemer, B.M. (DE)
Schewe, J. (DE)
Zhao, F. (CN)
Frieler, K. (DE)
Mengel, M. (DE)
Hejzlar, Josef (BC-A) RID, ORCIDCelkový počet autorů 67 Zdroj.dok. Geoscientific Model Development. - : Copernicus GmbH - ISSN 1991-959X
Roč. 15, č. 11 (2022), s. 4597-4623Poč.str. 27 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. DE - Německo Klíč. slova air-temperature ; surface-temperature ; northern-hemisphere ; water temperature ; simulation ; evaporation ; sensitivity Vědní obor RIV DA - Hydrologie a limnologie Obor OECD Hydrology CEP EF16_025/0007417 GA MŠMT - Ministerstvo školství, mládeže a tělovýchovy Způsob publikování Open access Institucionální podpora BC-A - RVO:60077344 UT WOS 000811528800001 EID SCOPUS 85132560015 DOI 10.5194/gmd-15-4597-2022 Anotace Empirical evidence demonstrates that lakes and reservoirs are warming across the globe. Consequently, there is an increased need to project future changes in lake thermal structure and resulting changes in lake biogeochemistry in order to plan for the likely impacts. Previous studies of the impacts of climate change on lakes have often relied on a single model forced with limited scenario-driven projections of future climate for a relatively small number of lakes. As a result, our understanding of the effects of climate change on lakes is fragmentary, based on scattered studies using different data sources and modelling protocols, and mainly focused on individual lakes or lake regions. This has precluded identification of the main impacts of climate change on lakes at global and regional scales and has likely contributed to the lack of lake water quality considerations in policy-relevant documents, such as the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Here, we describe a simulation protocol developed by the Lake Sector of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) for simulating climate change impacts on lakes using an ensemble of lake models and climate change scenarios for ISIMIP phases 2 and 3. The protocol prescribes lake simulations driven by climate forcing from gridded observations and different Earth system models under various representative greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCPs), all consistently bias-corrected on a 0.5 degrees x 0.5 degrees global grid. In ISIMIP phase 2, 11 lake models were forced with these data to project the thermal structure of 62 well-studied lakes where data were available for calibration under historical conditions, and using uncalibrated models for 17 500 lakes defined for all global grid cells containing lakes. In ISIMIP phase 3, this approach was expanded to consider more lakes, more models, and more processes. The ISIMIP Lake Sector is the largest international effort to project future water temperature, thermal structure, and ice phenology of lakes at local and global scales and paves the way for future simulations of the impacts of climate change on water quality and biogeochemistry in lakes. Pracoviště Biologické centrum (od r. 2006) Kontakt Dana Hypšová, eje@eje.cz, Tel.: 387 775 214 Rok sběru 2023 Elektronická adresa 10.5194/gmd-15-4597-2022
Počet záznamů: 1