Počet záznamů: 1
Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios
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SYSNO ASEP 0493274 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios Tvůrce(i) Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M. (GB)
Guo, Y. (AU)
Sera, F. (GB)
Huber, V. (DE)
Schleussner, C.-F. (DE)
Mitchell, D. (GB)
Tong, S. (CN)
Coelho, M. S. Z. S. (BR)
Saldiva, P. H. N. (BR)
Lavigne, E. (CA)
Correa, P.M. (CL)
Ortega, N. V. (CL)
Kan, H. (CN)
Osorio, S. (BR)
Kyselý, Jan (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
Urban, Aleš (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
Jaakkola, J.J.K. (FI)
Ryti, N.R.I. (FI)
Pascal, M. (FR)
Goodman, P.G. (IE)
Zeka, A. (GB)
Michelozzi, P. (IT)
Scortichini, M. (IT)
Hashizume, M. (JP)
Honda, Y. (JP)
Hurtado-Diaz, M. (MX)
Cruz, J.C. (MX)
Seposo, X. (JP)
Kim, H. (KR)
Tobias, A. (ES)
Iniguez, C. (ES)
Forsberg, B. (SE)
Åström, D.O. (SE)
Ragettli, M.S. (CH)
Rőősli, M. (CH)
Guo, Y.L. (TW)
Wu, Ch. (TW)
Zanobetti, A. (US)
Schwartz, J. (US)
Bell, M.L. (US)
Dang, T.N. (VN)
Van, D.D. (VN)
Heaviside, C. (GB)
Vardoulakis, S. (GB)
Hajat, S. (GB)
Haines, A. (GB)
Armstrong, B. (GB)
Ebi, K.L. (US)
Gasparrini, A. (GB)Celkový počet autorů 49 Zdroj.dok. Climatic Change. - : Springer - ISSN 0165-0009
Roč. 150, 3-4 (2018), s. 391-402Poč.str. 12 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. NL - Nizozemsko Klíč. slova Climate change ; Mortality ; Temperature ; Projections Vědní obor RIV DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie Obor OECD Meteorology and atmospheric sciences CEP GA16-22000S GA ČR - Grantová agentura ČR Institucionální podpora UFA-U - RVO:68378289 UT WOS 000448034000017 EID SCOPUS 85053489637 DOI 10.1007/s10584-018-2274-3 Anotace The Paris Agreement binds all nations to undertake ambitious efforts to combat climate change, with the commitment to hold warming well below 2 degrees C in global mean temperature (GMT), relative to pre-industrial levels, and to pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5 degrees C. The 1.5 degrees C limit constitutes an ambitious goal for which greater evidence on its benefits for health would help guide policy and potentially increase the motivation for action. Here we contribute to this gap with an assessment on the potential health benefits, in terms of reductions in temperature-related mortality, derived from the compliance to the agreed temperature targets, compared to more extreme warming scenarios. We performed a multi-region analysis in 451 locations in 23 countries with different climate zones, and evaluated changes in heat and cold-related mortality under scenarios consistent with the Paris Agreement targets (1.5 and 2 degrees C) and more extreme GMT increases (3 and 4 degrees C), and under the assumption of no changes in demographic distribution and vulnerability. Our results suggest that limiting warming below 2 degrees C could prevent large increases in temperature-related mortality in most regions worldwide. The comparison between 1.5 and 2 degrees C is more complex and characterized by higher uncertainty, with geographical differences that indicate potential benefits limited to areas located in warmer climates, where direct climate change impacts will be more discernible. Pracoviště Ústav fyziky atmosféry Kontakt Kateřina Adamovičová, adamovicova@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 012 ; Kateřina Potužníková, kaca@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 019 Rok sběru 2019
Počet záznamů: 1