Improving regional applicability of the UK shared socioeconomic Pathways through iterative participatory co-design

0565738 - ÚVGZ 2023 RIV NL eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Harmáčková, Veronika Zuzana - Pedde, S. - Bullock, J. M. - Dellaccio, O. - Dicks, J. - Linney, G. - Merkle, M. - Rounsevell, M. D. A. - Stenning, J. - Harrison, Paula A.
Improving regional applicability of the UK shared socioeconomic Pathways through iterative participatory co-design.
Climate Risk Management. Roč. 37, JAN (2022), č. článku 100452. ISSN 2212-0963. E-ISSN 2212-0963
Institucionální podpora: RVO:86652079
Klíčová slova: Socioeconomic scenarios * Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) * Cross-scale * Cross-sectoral * Participatory process * Online deliberation * Scenario consistency * Scenario logic * Scenario assumptions * ipcc * Climate change * Climate risk and resilience * United Kingdom * Scotland * Wales * England * Northern Ireland
Obor OECD: Environmental sciences (social aspects)
Impakt faktor: 4.4, rok: 2022
Způsob publikování: Open access
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096322000596?via%3Dihub

Regional analyses of risks from climate change require reproducible, consistent and robust approaches to downscaling global socioeconomic scenarios, with coherent processes that work across multiple projects and communities. We address this need by developing an iterative approach to stakeholder-based Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) downscaling and co-design, enabling us to extend SSPs while maintaining their consistency from global to sub-national scales. We apply this approach to extend a set of SSPs for the United Kingdom, developing a broad range of user-oriented scenario products including (a) a set of key categories of socioeconomic drivers and their dimensions, (b) extended scenario narratives, (c) system diagrams, and (d) semi-quantitative trends of key socioeconomic indicators. Importantly, the co-design process outlined in this study was implemented fully online, providing valuable lessons on the implications of the online approach for participatory involvement, stakeholder inclusiveness and representativeness. In addition to presenting the approach and its resulting scenario products, we highlight how it contributes to adding detail and nuance, as well as geographic, temporal and sectoral extension to the scenarios. Furthermore, we discuss the benefits of the approach as a reproducible and robust roadmap to SSP downscaling, with respect to deepening the co-design process and increasing scenario legitimacy and validation.
Trvalý link: https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0337251