Scanning the horizon for invasive plant threats using a data-driven approach

0561066 - BÚ 2023 RIV BG eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Kendig, A. E. - Canavan, Susan - Anderson, P. J. - Flory, S. L. - Gettys, L. A. - Gordon, D. R. - Iannone III, B. V. - Kunzer, J. M. - Petri, T. - Pfingsten, I. A. - Lieurance, D.
Scanning the horizon for invasive plant threats using a data-driven approach.
Neobiota. Roč. 74, Jul 15 (2022), s. 129-154. ISSN 1619-0033. E-ISSN 1314-2488
Institucionální podpora: RVO:67985939
Klíčová slova: certainty * consensus building * Florida * horizon scan * invasion * prevention * rapid risk assessment
Obor OECD: Ecology
Impakt faktor: 5.1, rok: 2022
Způsob publikování: Open access
https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.74.83312

Early detection and eradication of invasive plants are more cost-effective than managing well-established invasive plant populations and their impacts. However, there is high uncertainty around which taxa are likely to become invasive in a given area. Horizon scanning that combines a data-driven approach with rapid risk assessment and consensus building among experts can help identify invasion threats. We per-formed a horizon scan of potential invasive plant threats to Florida, USA-a state with a high influx of introduced species, conditions that are generally favorable for plant establishment, and a history of negative impacts from invasive plants. We began with an initial list of 2128 non-native plant taxa that are known invaders or crop pests. We built on previous invasive species horizon scans by developing databased criteria to prioritize 100 taxa for rapid risk assessment. The semi-automated prioritization process included selecting taxa on the horizon (i.e., not yet in the target location and not on a noxious weed list) with climate matching, naturalization history, weediness record, and global commonness. We derived overall invasion risk scores with rapid risk assessment by evaluating the likelihood of each of the taxa ar-riving, establishing, and having an impact in Florida. Then, following a consensus-building discussion, we identified six plant taxa as high risk, with overall risk scores ranging from 75 to 100 out of a possible 125. The six taxa are globally distributed, easily transported to new areas, found in regions with climates similar to Florida's, and can impact native plant communities, human health, or agriculture. Finally, we evalu-ated our initial and final lists for potential biases. Assessors tended to assign higher risk scores to taxa that had more available information. In addition, we identified biases towards four plant families and certain geographical regions of origin. Our horizon scan approach identified taxa conforming to metrics of high invasion risk and used a methodology refined for plants that can be applied to other locations.
Trvalý link: https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0341742