Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests

0556194 - ÚVGZ 2023 RIV GB eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
del Castillo, E. - Zang, C. - Buras, A. - Hacket-Pain, A. - Esper, Jan - Serrano-Notivoli, R. - Hartl, C. - Weigel, R. - Klesse, S. - Resco de Dios, V. - Scharnweber, D. - Dorado-Linan, I. - Van der Maaten-Theunissen, M. - van der Maaten, E. - Jump, A. - Mikac, S. - Banzragch, B. - Beck, W. - Cavin, L. - Claessens, H. - Čada, V. - Cufar, K. - Dulamsuren, C. - Gricar, J. - Gil-Pelegrin, E. - Janda, P. - Kazimirovic, M. - Kreyling, J. - Latte, N. - Leuschner, Ch. - Longares, L.A. - Menzel, A. - Merela, M. - Motta, R. - Muffler, L. - Nola, P. - Petritan, A. M. - Petritan, I. C. - Prislan, P. - Rubio-Cuadrado, A. - Rydval, M. - Stajic, B. - Svoboda, M. - Toromani, E. - Trotsiuk, V. - Wilmking, M. - Zlatanov, T. - de Luis, M.
Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests.
Communications Biology. Roč. 5, č. 1 (2022), č. článku 163. E-ISSN 2399-3642
Grant CEP: GA MŠMT(CZ) EF16_019/0000797
Výzkumná infrastruktura: CzeCOS III - 90123
Institucionální podpora: RVO:86652079
Klíčová slova: fagus-sylvatica l. * tree-growth * biological trend * model selection * leaf phenology * radial growth * precipitation * temperature * limitation * increase
Obor OECD: Climatic research
Impakt faktor: 5.9, rok: 2022
Způsob publikování: Open access
https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-022-03107-3.pdf?origin=ppub

The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from20% to more than50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21(st) century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0330555