Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability

0544219 - ÚVGZ 2022 RIV GB eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Büntgen, Ulf - Urban, Otmar - Krusic, P. J. - Rybníček, Michal - Kolář, Tomáš - Kyncl, T. - Ač, Alexander - Koňasová, E. - Čáslavský, Josef - Esper, Jan - Wagner, S. - Saurer, M. - Tegel, W. - Dobrovolný, Petr - Cherubini, P. - Reinig, F. - Trnka, Miroslav
Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability.
Nature Geoscience. Roč. 14, č. 4 (2021), s. 190-196. ISSN 1752-0894. E-ISSN 1752-0908
Grant CEP: GA MŠMT(CZ) EF16_019/0000797
Institucionální podpora: RVO:86652079
Klíčová slova: stable isotopes * drought * tree rings * climate reconstruction
Obor OECD: Climatic research
Impakt faktor: 21.531, rok: 2021
Způsob publikování: Omezený přístup
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-021-00698-0

Europe's recent summer droughts have had devastating ecological and economic consequences, but the severity and cause of these extremes remain unclear. Here we present 27,080 annually resolved and absolutely dated measurements of tree-ring stable carbon and oxygen (delta C-13 and delta O-18) isotopes from 21 living and 126 relict oaks (Quercus spp.) used to reconstruct central European summer hydroclimate from 75 (BCE) to 2018 (CE). We find that the combined inverse delta C-13 and delta O-18 values correlate with the June-August Palmer Drought Severity Index from 1901-2018 at 0.73 (P < 0.001). Pluvials around 200, 720 and 1100 (CE), and droughts around 40, 590, 950 and 1510 (CE) and in the twenty-first century, are superimposed on a multi-millennial drying trend. Our reconstruction demonstrates that the sequence of recent European summer droughts since 2015 (CE) is unprecedented in the past 2,110 years. This hydroclimatic anomaly is probably caused by anthropogenic warming and associated changes in the position of the summer jet stream.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0321259