Shock deceleration in interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) beyond Mercury's orbit until one AU

0501717 - ÚFA 2019 RIV FR eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Grison, Benjamin - Souček, Jan - Krupař, Vratislav - Píša, David - Santolík, Ondřej - Taubenschuss, Ulrich - Němec, F.
Shock deceleration in interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) beyond Mercury's orbit until one AU.
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate. Roč. 8, DEC (2018), č. článku A54. ISSN 2115-7251. E-ISSN 2115-7251
Grant CEP: GA ČR(CZ) GA18-05285S; GA ČR(CZ) GA17-08772S; GA ČR(CZ) GJ17-06818Y
GRANT EU: European Commission(XE) 654208 - EPN2020-RI
Grant ostatní: AV ČR(CZ) AP1401
Program: Akademická prémie - Praemium Academiae
Institucionální podpora: RVO:68378289
Klíčová slova: interplanetary coronal mass ejection (CME) * interplanetary medium * propagation * space weather * multipoint analysis
Obor OECD: Fluids and plasma physics (including surface physics)
Impakt faktor: 2.821, rok: 2018
https://www.swsc-journal.org/articles/swsc/abs/2018/01/swsc180026/swsc180026.html

The CDPP propagation tool is used to propagate interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) observed at Mercury by MESSENGER to various targets in the inner solar system (VEX, ACE, STEREO-A and B). The deceleration of ICME shock fronts between the orbit of Mercury and 1 AU is studied on the basis of a large dataset. We focus on the interplanetary medium far from the solor corona, to avoid the region where ICME propagation modifications in velocity and direction are the most drastic. Starting with a catalog of 61 ICMEs recorded by MESSENGER, the propagation tool predicts 36 ICME impacts with targets. ICME in situ signatures are investigated close to predicted encounter times based on velocities estimated at MESSENGER and on the default propagation tool velocity (500 km s(-1)). ICMEs are observed at the targets in 26 cases and interplanetary shocks (not followed by magnetic ejecta) in two cases. Comparing transit velocities between the Sun and MESSENGER ((v) over bar (Sunmess))and between MESSENGER and the targets ((v) over bar (MessTar)), we find an average deceleration of 170 km s(-1) (28 cases). Comparing (v) over bar (MessTar) to the velocities at the targets (v(Tar)), average ICME deceleration is about 160 km s(-1) (13 cases). Our results show that the ICME shock deceleration is significant beyond Mercury's orbit. ICME shock arrival times are predicted with an average accuracy of about six hours with a standard deviation of eleven hours. Focusing on two ICMEs detected first at MESSENGER and later on by two targets illustrates our results and the variability in ICME propagations. The shock velocity of an ICME observed at MESSENGER, then at VEX and finally at STEREO-B decreases all the way. Predicting arrivals of potentially effective ICMEs is an important space weather issue. The CDPP propagation tool, in association with in situ measurements between the Sun and the Earth, can permit to update alert status of such arrivals.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0293719