Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century

0497348 - BÚ 2019 RIV US eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Altman, Jan - Ukhvatkina, O. N. - Omelko, A. M. - Macek, Martin - Plener, Tomáš - Pejcha, Vít - Černý, T. - Petřík, Petr - Šrůtek, M. - Song, J. S. - Zhmerenetsky, A. A. - Vozmishcheva, A. S. - Krestov, P. V. - Petrenko, T. Y. - Treydte, K. - Doležal, Jiří
Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. Roč. 115, č. 6 (2018), s. 11543-11548. ISSN 0027-8424. E-ISSN 1091-6490
Grant CEP: GA ČR(CZ) GA17-07378S
Grant ostatní: AV ČR(CZ) MSM200051801
Program: Program na podporu mezinárodní spolupráce začínajících výzkumných pracovníků
Institucionální podpora: RVO:67985939
Klíčová slova: North Pacific * tropical cyclones * natural hazard
Obor OECD: Ecology
Impakt faktor: 9.580, rok: 2018

Determination of long-term tropical cyclone (TC) variability is of enormous importance to society, however, changes in TC activity are poorly understood owing to discrepancies among various datasets and limited span of instrumental records. Our results indicate significant long-term changes in TC activity, with increased rates of disturbances in the northern latitudes over the past century. The disturbance frequency was stable over time in the southern latitudes, however. Our findings of increasing disturbance frequency in the areas formerly situated at the edge of TC activity provide evidence supporting the broad relevance of poleward migration of TCs. Our results significantly enhance our understanding of the effects of climate change on TCs and emphasize the need for determination of long-term variation of past TC activity to improve future TC projections.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0289909