Misfortunes never come singly: consecutive weather shocks and mortality in Russia

0494804 - NHÚ 2019 RIV NL eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Otrachshenko, V. - Popova, Olga - Solomin, P.
Misfortunes never come singly: consecutive weather shocks and mortality in Russia.
Economics and Human Biology. Roč. 31, September (2018), s. 249-258. ISSN 1570-677X. E-ISSN 1873-6130
Institucionální podpora: RVO:67985998
Klíčová slova: climate change * cold spells * extreme weather
Obor OECD: Applied Economics, Econometrics
Impakt faktor: 2.183, rok: 2018

This paper examines the impacts of extremely hot and cold days on mortality in Russia, using a 25-year regional panel data. Unlike other studies, the sequence of those extreme days is also taken into account, that is, the impacts of both single and consecutive (i.e. heat waves and cold spells) extreme days are estimated simultaneously. We demonstrate the importance of accounting for the sequence of extreme days. We also disentangle the impacts of those extremes by age and gender. The findings suggest that single hot days increase mortality, while single cold days do not affect mortality. On the other hand, both consecutive hot and consecutive cold days increase mortality in females and males for all age groups, although males are affected more severely. Overall, consecutive days with extreme temperatures impose considerable costs to society in terms of years of life lost. Thus, ignoring the sequences of extreme days that are likely to increase in the future because of climate change may have critical implications for mitigation policies.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0287873