Persistent multi-scale fluctuations shift European hydroclimate to its millennial boundaries

0489364 - ÚFA 2019 RIV GB eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Markonis, Y. - Hanel, M. - Máca, P. - Kyselý, Jan - Cook, E.R.
Persistent multi-scale fluctuations shift European hydroclimate to its millennial boundaries.
Nature Communications. Roč. 9, č. 1 (2018), č. článku 1767. E-ISSN 2041-1723
Institucionální podpora: RVO:68378289
Klíčová slova: Atlantic multidecadal oscillation * climate-change projections * atmospheric circulation * Unitedy States * drought frequency * summer climate * variability * trends * cycle
Obor OECD: Climatic research
Impakt faktor: 11.878, rok: 2018
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-04207-7

In recent years, there has been growing concern about the effect of global warming on water resources, especially at regional and continental scales. The last IPCC report on extremes states that there is medium confidence about an increase on European drought frequency during twentieth century. Here we use the Old World Drought Atlas palaeoclimatic reconstruction to show that when Europe’s hydroclimate is examined under a millennial, multi-scale perspective, a significant decrease in dryness can be observed since 1920 over most of central and northern Europe. On the contrary, in the south, drying conditions have prevailed, creating an intense north-to-south dipole. In both cases, hydroclimatic conditions have shifted to, and in some regions exceeded, their millennial boundaries, remaining at these extreme levels for the longest period of the 1000-year-long record.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0283792