Climate change will increase the naturalization risk from garden plants in Europe

0477792 - BÚ 2018 RIV GB eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Dullinger, Y. - Wessely, J. - Bossdorf, O. - Dawson, W. - Essl, F. - Gattringer, A. - Klonner, G. - Kreft, H. - Kuttner, M. - Moser, D. - Pergl, Jan - Pyšek, Petr - Thuiller, W. - van Kleunen, M. - Weigelt, P. - Winter, M. - Dullinger, S.
Climate change will increase the naturalization risk from garden plants in Europe.
Global Ecology and Biogeography. Roč. 26, č. 1 (2017), s. 43-53. ISSN 1466-822X. E-ISSN 1466-8238
Grant CEP: GA ČR(CZ) GAP504/11/1028; GA ČR GB14-36079G
Grant ostatní: AV ČR(CZ) AP1002
Program: Akademická prémie - Praemium Academiae
Institucionální podpora: RVO:67985939
Klíčová slova: future invasions * ornamental plants * climate change
Obor OECD: Ecology
Impakt faktor: 5.958, rok: 2017

Under current climate, 165 ornamental plant species would already find suitable conditions in more than 5% of Europe. Although climate change substantially increases the potential range of many species, there are also some that are predicted to lose climatically suitable area under a changing climate, particularly species native to boreal and Mediterranean biomes. Overall, hotspots of naturalization risk defined by climatic suitability alone, or by a combination of climatic suitability and appropriate land cover, are projected to increase by up to 102% or 64%, respectively. Our results suggest that the risk of naturalization of European garden plants will increase with warming climate, and thus it is very likely that the risk of negative impacts from invasion by these plants will also grow. It is therefore crucial to increase awareness of the possibility of biological invasions among horticulturalists, particularly in the face of a warming climate.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0277226