Climate-driven introduction of the Black Death and successive plague reintroductions into Europe

0473355 - ÚVGZ 2017 RIV US eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Schmid, B. V. - Büntgen, Ulf - Easterday, W. R. - Ginzler, Ch. - Walloe, L. - Bramanti, B. - Stenseth, N. C.
Climate-driven introduction of the Black Death and successive plague reintroductions into Europe.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. Roč. 112, č. 10 (2015), s. 3020-3025. ISSN 0027-8424. E-ISSN 1091-6490
Institucionální podpora: RVO:67179843
Klíčová slova: yersinia-pestis * xenopsylla-cheopis * bubonic plague * central-asia * synchrony * dynamics * transmission * temperature * populations * thresholds * Yersinia pestis * medieval epidemiology * climate-driven disease dynamics
Kód oboru RIV: EH - Ekologie - společenstva
Impakt faktor: 9.423, rok: 2015
http://www.pnas.org/content/112/10/3020.full.pdf

The Black Death, originating in Asia, arrived in the Mediterranean harbors of Europe in 1347 CE, via the land and sea trade routes of the ancient Silk Road system. This epidemic marked the start of the second plague pandemic, which lasted in Europe until the early 19th century. This pandemic is generally understood as the consequence of a singular introduction of Yersinia pestis, after which the disease established itself in European rodents over four centuries. To locate these putative plague reservoirs, we studied the climate fluctuations that preceded regional plague epidemics, based on a dataset of 7,711 georeferenced historical plague outbreaks and 15 annually resolved tree-ring records from Europe and Asia. We provide evidence for repeated climate-driven reintroductions of the bacterium into European harbors from reservoirs in Asia, with a delay of 15 +/- 1 y. Our analysis finds no support for the existence of permanent plague reservoirs in medieval Europe.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0270498