Global Change & Ecosystems

0455410 - ÚVGZ 2016 RIV CZ eng M - Část monografie knihy
Lorencová, Eliška - Harmáčková, Veronika Zuzana - Vačkář, David
Impacts of land use and climate change on ecosystem services in the Czech Republic.
Global Change & Ecosystems. Volume 1. 1. Brno: Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, v. v. i, 2015 - (Urban, O.; Klem, K.), s. 197-213. ISBN 978-80-87902-14-1
Grant CEP: GA MŠMT(CZ) LO1415
Institucionální podpora: RVO:67179843
Klíčová slova: climate and land use change * ecosystem services * ALARM scenarios * Czech Republic
Kód oboru RIV: DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment developed an anthropogenic concept of ecosystem services that are defined as benefits that people obtain from ecosystems. As a whole, ecosystems provide a broad variety of services that are crucial to the existence as well as the social and economic development of human societies. Climate change is perceived as an important driving force in the distribution and functioning of natural ecosystems and it also affects the provisioning of ecosystem services. In the present study, we aim to contribute to the assessment of climate change impacts by employing scenarios to quantify the delivery of particular ecosystem services. Moreover, scenarios from the ALARM project for 2020, 2050, and 2080 are employed to quantify and model in a spatially explicit manner climate change impacts on the future provision of selected ecosystem services (carbon storage and sequestration as well as erosion control and sediment retention) in the Czech Republic. We analysed three scenarios: BAMBU (Business As Might Be Usual), GRAS (Growth Applied Strategy) and SEDG (Sustainable European Development Goal) for 2020, 2050 and 2080 compared to the baseline Corine Land Cover (CLC 2000). The highest carbon sequestration rate during 2000–2080 is seen in the GRAS scenario, accounting for 104,224 Gg C and reflecting the substantial increase in forest within this scenario. In contrast, the lowest carbon sequestration rate during 2000–2080 is seen in the SEDG scenario, reaching 37,029 Gg C. Regarding soil loss, SEDG scenarios in 2080 show the highest annual soil loss rates, amounting to as much as 31.8 Mg ha–1. Application of future climate and land-use projections together with ecosystem services modelling provides us with interesting quantitative and spatial insights into future trends in the delivery of such services in the Czech Republic.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0256025