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Statistical Models for Disaggregation and Reaggregation of Natural Gas Consumption Data
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SYSNO ASEP 0436216 Document Type J - Journal Article R&D Document Type Journal Article Subsidiary J Článek ve WOS Title Statistical Models for Disaggregation and Reaggregation of Natural Gas Consumption Data Author(s) Brabec, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCID
Konár, Ondřej (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCID
Malý, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI
Kasanický, Ivan (UIVT-O) RID, ORCID
Pelikán, Emil (UIVT-O) SAI, RIDSource Title Journal of Applied Statistics. - : Taylor & Francis - ISSN 0266-4763
Roč. 42, č. 5 (2015), s. 921-937Number of pages 17 s. Language eng - English Country GB - United Kingdom Keywords natural gas consumption ; semiparametric model ; standardized load profiles ; aggregation ; disaggregation ; 62P30 Subject RIV BB - Applied Statistics, Operational Research Institutional support UIVT-O - RVO:67985807 UT WOS 000349904500001 EID SCOPUS 84924253191 DOI 10.1080/02664763.2014.993365 Annotation In this paper, we present a unified framework for natural gas consumption modeling and forecasting. This consists of models of GAM class and their nonlinear extension, tailored for easy estimation, aggregation and treatment of the delayed relationship between temperature and consumption. Since the consumption data for households and small commercial customers are routinely available in many countries only as long-term sum meter readings, their disaggregation and possibly reaggregation to different time intervals is necessary for a variety of purposes. We show some examples of specific models based on the presented framework and then we demonstrate their use in practice, especially for the disaggregation and reaggregation tasks. Workplace Institute of Computer Science Contact Tereza Šírová, sirova@cs.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 053 800 Year of Publishing 2015
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