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Natural Gas
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SYSNO ASEP 0348314 Document Type M - Monograph Chapter R&D Document Type Monograph Chapter Title Statistical Model of Segment-Specific Relationship Between Natural Gas Consumption and Temperature in Daily and Hourly Resolution Author(s) Brabec, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCID
Malý, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI
Pelikán, Emil (UIVT-O) SAI, RID
Konár, Ondřej (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCIDSource Title Natural Gas. - Rijeka : Sciyo, 2010 / Potočnik P. - ISBN 978-953-307-112-1 Pages s. 393-416 Number of pages 24 s. Number of pages 606 Language eng - English Country HR - Croatia Keywords natural gas consumption ; semiparametric modeling ; statistical modeling ; temperature response Subject RIV JE - Non-nuclear Energetics, Energy Consumption ; Use R&D Projects 1ET400300513 GA AV ČR - Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic (AV ČR) Next source I CEZ AV0Z10300504 - UIVT-O (2005-2011) UT WOS 000363693000018 DOI 10.5772/9855 Annotation We describe a statistical model which was developed from first principles and from empirical behavior of real data to characterize the relationship between the consumption of natural gas and temperature in several segments of a typical gas utility company's customer pool. Specifically, we will deal with household and small+medium (HOU+SMC) size commercial customers. The model is suitable for disaggregation of various observed functionals of the observed consumption process into smaller pieces, e.g. disaggregation of sums across both individual customers and time into original components. This amounts to (semiparametric statistical) estimation of the individual pieces and/or subsequent synthesis into other functionals of interest. The model is built as a GAM (generalized additive model) with a nonlinear temperature response and it has quite rich dynamic component. We formulate the model first in generality and then we illustrate its behavior on real data from a large scale project. Workplace Institute of Computer Science Contact Tereza Šírová, sirova@cs.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 053 800 Year of Publishing 2011
Number of the records: 1