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A Statistical Model for Natural Gas Standardized Load Profiles

SYSNO ASEP	0319062
Document Type	J - Journal Article
R&D Document Type	Journal Article
Subsidiary J	Článek ve WOS
Title	A Statistical Model for Natural Gas Standardized Load Profiles
Title	Statistický model typových diagramů denní dodávky zemního plynu
Author(s)	Brabec, Marek (UIVT-O)_{RID, SAI, ORCID} Konár, Ondřej (UIVT-O)_{RID, SAI, ORCID} Malý, Marek (UIVT-O)_{RID, SAI} Pelikán, Emil (UIVT-O)_{SAI, RID} Vondráček, Jiří (UIVT-O)
Source Title	Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C-Applied Statistics. - : Wiley - ISSN 0035-9254 Roč. 58, č. 1 (2009), s. 123-139
Number of pages	17 s.
Language	eng - English
Country	GB - United Kingdom
Keywords	disaggregation ; generalized additive models ; multiplicative model ; non-linear effects ; segmentation ; semiparametric regression model
Subject RIV	JE - Non-nuclear Energetics, Energy Consumption ; Use
R&D Projects	1ET400300513 GA AV ČR - Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic (AV ČR)
CEZ	AV0Z10300504 - UIVT-O (2005-2011)
UT WOS	000262131400008
EID SCOPUS	58149145311
DOI	10.1111/j.1467-9876.2008.00636.x
Annotation	We present a statistical model for construction and application of standardized load profiles. Standardized load profile curves give a typical natural gas consumption pattern throughout a year in various time resolutions. Our semiparametric regression model uses three types of information, constant characteristics of an individual customer, individual historical consumption and time varying explanatory variables, both to describe typical trend and to correct for departure of current conditions from normal. The model's multiplicative structure allows for convenient separation of individual-specific and common time varying parts. Although corrections are parametric, no substantial information about the typical consumption trend is available, so it is modelled non-parametrically. Corrections for temperature effects are non-linear; hence we deal with them through an obvious extension of the generalized additive model framework.
Workplace	Institute of Computer Science
Contact	Tereza Šírová, sirova@cs.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 053 800
Year of Publishing	2009

Number of the records: 1