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A Statistical Model for Natural Gas Standardized Load Profiles
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SYSNO ASEP 0319062 Document Type J - Journal Article R&D Document Type Journal Article Subsidiary J Článek ve WOS Title A Statistical Model for Natural Gas Standardized Load Profiles Title Statistický model typových diagramů denní dodávky zemního plynu Author(s) Brabec, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCID
Konár, Ondřej (UIVT-O) RID, SAI, ORCID
Malý, Marek (UIVT-O) RID, SAI
Pelikán, Emil (UIVT-O) SAI, RID
Vondráček, Jiří (UIVT-O)Source Title Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C-Applied Statistics. - : Wiley - ISSN 0035-9254
Roč. 58, č. 1 (2009), s. 123-139Number of pages 17 s. Language eng - English Country GB - United Kingdom Keywords disaggregation ; generalized additive models ; multiplicative model ; non-linear effects ; segmentation ; semiparametric regression model Subject RIV JE - Non-nuclear Energetics, Energy Consumption ; Use R&D Projects 1ET400300513 GA AV ČR - Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic (AV ČR) CEZ AV0Z10300504 - UIVT-O (2005-2011) UT WOS 000262131400008 EID SCOPUS 58149145311 DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9876.2008.00636.x Annotation We present a statistical model for construction and application of standardized load profiles. Standardized load profile curves give a typical natural gas consumption pattern throughout a year in various time resolutions. Our semiparametric regression model uses three types of information, constant characteristics of an individual customer, individual historical consumption and time varying explanatory variables, both to describe typical trend and to correct for departure of current conditions from normal. The model's multiplicative structure allows for convenient separation of individual-specific and common time varying parts. Although corrections are parametric, no substantial information about the typical consumption trend is available, so it is modelled non-parametrically. Corrections for temperature effects are non-linear; hence we deal with them through an obvious extension of the generalized additive model framework. Workplace Institute of Computer Science Contact Tereza Šírová, sirova@cs.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 053 800 Year of Publishing 2009
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