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Climate variability and potential distribution of selected pest species in south Moravia and north-east Austria in the past 200 years – lessons for the future

SYSNO ASEP	0397702
Document Type	J - Journal Article
R&D Document Type	Journal Article
Subsidiary J	Článek ve WOS
Title	Climate variability and potential distribution of selected pest species in south Moravia and north-east Austria in the past 200 years – lessons for the future
Author(s)	Svobodová, Eva (UEK-B)_{RID, SAI} Trnka, Miroslav (UEK-B)_{RID, ORCID, SAI} Žalud, Zdeněk (UEK-B)_{RID, ORCID, SAI} Semerádová, D. (CZ) Dubrovský, Martin (UEK-B)_{RID, ORCID, SAI} Eitzinger, Josef (UEK-B)_{RID, SAI, ORCID} Štěpánek, Petr (UEK-B)_{RID, SAI, ORCID} Brázdil, Rudolf (UEK-B)_{RID, SAI, ORCID}
Source Title	Journal of Agricultural Science. - : Cambridge University Press - ISSN 0021-8596 Roč. 152, č. 2 (2014), s. 225-237
Number of pages	13 s.
Language	eng - English
Country	GB - United Kingdom
Keywords	lobesia-botrana lepidoptera ; colding moth lepidoptera ; european grapevine moth ; predictive models ; crop protection ; cydia-pomonella ; tortricidae ; temperature ; populations ; phenology
Subject RIV	EH - Ecology, Behaviour
R&D Projects	ED1.1.00/02.0073 GA MŠMT - Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (MEYS)
	EE2.4.31.0056 GA MŠMT - Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (MEYS)
Institutional support	RVO:67179843 - RVO:67179843
UT WOS	000339513000005
DOI	10.1017/S0021859613000099
Annotation	The present study investigated the historical occurrence of the European corn borer (Ostrinia nubilalis), the European grape vine moth (Lobesia botrana) and the Codling moth (Cydia pomonella) in southern Moravia and northern Austria from 1803–2008 by using climate and pest models. The pest model used, CLIMEX, indicates areas that are climatically favourable for the pest's development and long-term survival, considering the climatic parameters, especially daily air temperature, as determining factors for pest development. For model input parameters, two sets of meteorological data were prepared: (i) a generated meteorological series for 1803–2008 and (ii) a measured reference meteorological series for 1976–2008. In addition to estimating the historical climatic suitability for the persistence of a given pest, a second aim of the present study was to specify the core of the climatic niche during the continued presence of the pest and evaluate the applicability of the meteorological data generated for climate, based on pest mapping. This evaluation resulted in a partial overestimation of pest occurrence for L. botrana when using the generated meteorological data set. This species, native to warmer areas, has proved to be a sensitive indicator of increased temperatures.
Workplace	Global Change Research Institute
Contact	Nikola Šviková, svikova.n@czechglobe.cz, Tel.: 511 192 268
Year of Publishing	2015

Number of the records: 1