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Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models

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    SYSNO ASEP0368524
    Document TypeJ - Journal Article
    R&D Document TypeJournal Article
    Subsidiary JČlánek ve WOS
    TitleClimate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models
    Author(s) Kyselý, Jan (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
    Gaál, Ladislav (UFA-U) RID
    Beranová, Romana (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
    Plavcová, Eva (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
    Source TitleTheoretical and Applied Climatology - ISSN 0177-798X
    Roč. 104, 3-4 (2011), s. 529-542
    Number of pages14 s.
    Languageeng - English
    CountryAT - Austria
    Keywordsprecipitation extremes ; regional climate models ; ENSEMBLES ; climate change ; region-of-influence method
    Subject RIVDG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology
    R&D ProjectsGAP209/10/2265 GA ČR - Czech Science Foundation (CSF)
    CEZAV0Z30420517 - UFA-U, BC-A (2005-2011)
    UT WOS000290935400021
    DOI10.1007/s00704-010-0362-z
    AnnotationFuture scenarios of precipitation extremes over Central Europe are examined in an ensemble of 12 regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the European project ENSEMBLES. We apply the region-of-influence method as a pooling scheme when estimating distributions of extremes. Most RCMs simulate increases in high quantiles of precipitation amounts for the late-21st century (2070-99) climate in both winter and summer. Although a qualitative agreement of the models concerning the projected changes of precipitation extremes is found in both winter and summer, the uncertainties in climate change scenarios remain large.
    WorkplaceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics
    ContactKateřina Adamovičová, adamovicova@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 012 ; Kateřina Potužníková, kaca@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 019
    Year of Publishing2012
    Electronic addresshttp://www.springerlink.com/content/95wj1140307nu5k7/fulltext.pdf
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