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Bayesian averaging of regressive models
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SYSNO ASEP 0346948 Document Type C - Proceedings Paper (int. conf.) R&D Document Type Conference Paper Title Bayesian averaging of regressive models Author(s) Dedecius, Kamil (UTIA-B) RID, ORCID
Jirsa, Ladislav (UTIA-B) RID
Pištěk, Miroslav (UTIA-B) RID, ORCIDSource Title Proceedings of the 11th International PhD Workshop on Systems and Control. - Veszprém, Maďarsko : Faculty of Information Technology, University of Pannonia, 2010 - ISBN 978-615-5044-00-7 Pages s. 1-6 Number of pages 6 s. Action 11th International PhD Workshop on Systems and Control a Young Generation Viewpoint Event date 01.09.2010-03.09.2010 VEvent location Veszprém Country HU - Hungary Event type EUR Language eng - English Country HU - Hungary Keywords bayesian modelling ; model averaging ; estimation Subject RIV JD - Computer Applications, Robotics R&D Projects 7D09008 GA MŠMT - Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (MEYS) CEZ AV0Z10750506 - UTIA-B (2005-2011) Annotation In the real world, it is often possible to model certain variables using several different regressive models. However, as the theoretical (mathematical, physical...) description of the real world is almost never perfect, there exists uncertainty about the true or best-fitting model. This paper deals with an issue of `mixing' information from multiple potentially true models, which run in parallel, to obtain a single outcome, taking the model uncertainty into account. While this issue has been addressed by many research papers in the past, most of them were developed for the static cases or for the state-space models. Here, we discuss an enhancement for a class of input-output regressive models. The described method allows to switch among models to reflect their modelling performance. If there is a single best model, the method quickly converges to it. Workplace Institute of Information Theory and Automation Contact Markéta Votavová, votavova@utia.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 052 201. Year of Publishing 2011
Number of the records: 1