Number of the records: 1

Estimating QPF uncertainty by ensemble skill for local flash flood producing rainfalls

SYSNO ASEP	0340869
Document Type	C - Proceedings Paper (int. conf.)
R&D Document Type	Conference Paper
Title	Estimating QPF uncertainty by ensemble skill for local flash flood producing rainfalls
Author(s)	Zacharov, Petr, jr. (UFA-U)_{RID, ORCID} Řezáčová, Daniela (UFA-U)_{RID, ORCID}
Source Title	UrbanRain09. Rainfall in the urban context: forecasting, risk and climate change. - Zurich : ETH Zurich, 2009 / Molnar P. ; Burlando P. ; Einfalt T. - ISBN 978-3-909386-27-7
Pages	s. 230-234
Number of pages	5 s.
Publication form	CD-ROM - CD-ROM
Action	International workshop on precipitationin urban areas /8./
Event date	10.12.2009-13.12.2009
VEvent location	St. Moritz
Country	CH - Switzerland
Event type	WRD
Language	eng - English
Country	CH - Switzerland
Keywords	QPF ; forecast uncertainty ; ensemble forecast ; Fractions Skill Score ; ensemble spread ; ensemble skill
Subject RIV	DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology
R&D Projects	GA205/07/0905 GA ČR - Czech Science Foundation (CSF)
	OC 112 GA MŠMT - Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (MEYS)
CEZ	AV0Z30420517 - UFA-U, BC-A (2005-2011)
Annotation	Forecast uncertainty is an inherent part of high-resolution quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) and it is particularly pronounced when predicting heavy convective precipitation. Ensemble prediction is a usefull mean to assess the QPF uncertainty by employing ensemble spread that characterizes differences between the control forecast and forecasts provided by each ensemble member. In this study, we used gauge adjusted radar-based rainfalls in the QPF verification and we applied Fractions Skill Score (FSS) in the calculation of the ensemble skill and ensemble spread.
Workplace	Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Contact	Kateřina Adamovičová, adamovicova@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 012 ; Kateřina Potužníková, kaca@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 019
Year of Publishing	2010

Number of the records: 1