0556194 - ÚVGZ 2023 RIV GB eng J - Journal Article
del Castillo, E. - Zang, C. - Buras, A. - Hacket-Pain, A. - Esper, Jan - Serrano-Notivoli, R. - Hartl, C. - Weigel, R. - Klesse, S. - Resco de Dios, V. - Scharnweber, D. - Dorado-Linan, I. - Van der Maaten-Theunissen, M. - van der Maaten, E. - Jump, A. - Mikac, S. - Banzragch, B. - Beck, W. - Cavin, L. - Claessens, H. - Čada, V. - Cufar, K. - Dulamsuren, C. - Gricar, J. - Gil-Pelegrin, E. - Janda, P. - Kazimirovic, M. - Kreyling, J. - Latte, N. - Leuschner, Ch. - Longares, L.A. - Menzel, A. - Merela, M. - Motta, R. - Muffler, L. - Nola, P. - Petritan, A. M. - Petritan, I. C. - Prislan, P. - Rubio-Cuadrado, A. - Rydval, M. - Stajic, B. - Svoboda, M. - Toromani, E. - Trotsiuk, V. - Wilmking, M. - Zlatanov, T. - de Luis, M.
Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests.
Communications Biology. Roč. 5, č. 1 (2022), č. článku 163. E-ISSN 2399-3642
R&D Projects: GA MŠMT(CZ) EF16_019/0000797
Research Infrastructure: CzeCOS III - 90123
Institutional support: RVO:86652079
Keywords : fagus-sylvatica l. * tree-growth * biological trend * model selection * leaf phenology * radial growth * precipitation * temperature * limitation * increase
OECD category: Climatic research
Impact factor: 5.9, year: 2022
Method of publishing: Open access
Result website:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-022-03107-3.pdf?origin=ppub
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s42003-022-03107-3

The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from20% to more than50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21(st) century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.

Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0330555