- A Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model for the Prediction of Natural Gas Con…
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A Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model for the Prediction of Natural Gas Consumption by Individual Customers

  1. 1.
    0313785 - ÚI 2009 RIV NL eng J - Journal Article
    Brabec, Marek - Konár, Ondřej - Pelikán, Emil - Malý, Marek
    A Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model for the Prediction of Natural Gas Consumption by Individual Customers.
    [Nelineární model se smíšenými efekty pro předpověď spotřeby zemního plynu individuálních zákazníků.]
    International Journal of Forecasting. Roč. 24, č. 4 (2008), s. 659-678. ISSN 0169-2070. E-ISSN 1872-8200
    R&D Projects: GA AV ČR 1ET400300513
    Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10300504
    Keywords : individual gas consumption * nonlinear mixed effects model * ARIMAX * ARX * generalized linear mixed model * conditional modeling
    Subject RIV: JE - Non-nuclear Energetics, Energy Consumption ; Use
    Impact factor: 1.685, year: 2008
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.08.005

    Cited: 20

    --- SABO, K. - SCITOVSKI, R. - VAZLER, I. - ZEKIC-SUSAC, M. Mathematical models of natural gas consumption. ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT. ISSN 0196-8904, MAR 2011, vol. 52, no. 3, p. 1721-1727. [WOS]
    --- SOLDO, B. Forecasting natural gas consumption. APPLIED ENERGY. ISSN 0306-2619, APR 2012, vol. 92, p. 26-37. [WOS]
    --- VAZLER, I. - SABO, K. - SCITOVSKI, R. Weighted Median of the Data in Solving Least Absolute Deviations Problems. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS. ISSN 0361-0926, 2012, vol. 41, no. 8, p. 1455-1465. [WOS]
    --- BOJACA, C.R. - GARCIA, S.J. - SCHREVENS, E. Analysis of Potato Canopy Coverage as Assessed Through Digital Imagery by Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models. POTATO RESEARCH. ISSN 0014-3065, SEP 2011, vol. 54, no. 3, p. 237-252. [WOS]
    --- HABEN, S. - WARD, J. - GREETHAM, D.V. - SINGLETON, C. - GRINDROD, P. A new error measure for forecasts of household-level, high resolution electrical energy consumption. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING. ISSN 0169-2070, APR-JUN 2014, vol. 30, no. 2, p. 246-256. [WOS]
    --- SOLDO, B. - POTOCNIK, P. - SIMUNOVIC, G. - SARIC, T. - GOVEKAR, E. Improving the residential natural gas consumption forecasting models by using solar radiation. ENERGY AND BUILDINGS. ISSN 0378-7788, FEB 2014, vol. 69, p. 498-506. [WOS]
    --- CHARLTON, N. - GREETHAM, D.V. - SINGLETON, C. Graph-based algorithms for comparison and prediction of household-level energy use profiles. 2013 IEEE INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON INTELLIGENT ENERGY SYSTEMS (IWIES). 2013, p. 119-124. [WOS]
    --- ZHANG, Z.W. - LIU, X.T. Prediction of long-term gas load based on particle swarm optimization and gray neural network model. ADVANCES IN MECHANICAL ENGINEERING. ISSN 1687-8140, JUL 13 2017, vol. 9, no. 7. [WOS]
    --- OLIVER, R. - DUFFY, A. - ENRIGHT, B. - O'CONNOR, R. Forecasting peak-day consumption for year-ahead management of natural gas networks. UTILITIES POLICY. ISSN 0957-1787, FEB 2017, vol. 44, p. 1-11. [WOS]
    --- AKPINAR, M. - YUMUSAK, N. Naive forecasting of household natural gas consumption with sliding window approach. TURKISH JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING AND COMPUTER SCIENCES. ISSN 1300-0632, 2017, vol. 25, no. 1, p. 30-45. [WOS]
    --- BALDACCI, L. - GOLFARELLI, M. - LOMBARDI, D. - SAMI, F. Natural gas consumption forecasting for anomaly detection. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS. ISSN 0957-4174, NOV 15 2016, vol. 62, p. 190-201. [WOS]
    --- CANALE, A. - VANTINI, S. Constrained functional time series: Applications to the Italian gas market. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING. ISSN 0169-2070, OCT-DEC 2016, vol. 32, no. 4, p. 1340-1351. [WOS]
    --- POTOCNIK, P. - GOVEKAR, E. Applied short-term forecasting for the Slovenian natural gas market. 2016 13TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM). ISSN 2165-4077, 2016. [WOS]
    --- AZADEH, A. - ZARRIN, M. - BEIK, H.R. - BIOKI, T.A. A neuro-fuzzy algorithm for improved gas consumption forecasting with economic, environmental and IT/IS indicators. JOURNAL OF PETROLEUM SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING. ISSN 0920-4105, SEP 2015, vol. 133, p. 716-739. [WOS]
    --- SZOPLIK, J. Forecasting of natural gas consumption with artificial neural networks. ENERGY. ISSN 0360-5442, JUN 1 2015, vol. 85, p. 208-220. [WOS]
    --- AZADEH, A. - ASADZADEH, S.M. - MIRSERAJI, G.H. - SABERI, M. An emotional learning-neuro-fuzzy inference approach for optimum training and forecasting of gas consumption estimation models with cognitive data. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE. ISSN 0040-1625, FEB 2015, vol. 91, p. 47-63. [WOS]
    --- WU, L.F. - LIU, S.F. - CHEN, H.J. - ZHANG, N. Using a Novel Grey System Model to Forecast Natural Gas Consumption in China. MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING. ISSN 1024-123X, 2015. [WOS]
    --- POTOCNIK, P. - SOLDO, B. - SIMUNOVIC, G. - SARIC, T. - JEROMEN, A. - GOVEKAR, E. Comparison of static and adaptive models for short-term residential natural gas forecasting in Croatia. APPLIED ENERGY. ISSN 0306-2619, SEP 15 2014, vol. 129, p. 94-103. [WOS]
    --- URIBE, G.J.G. - GUEVARA, D.E.R. - GALLEGO, P.A.R. Estimation of Residential Natural Gas Consumption in Medellin-Antioquia. IEEE LATIN AMERICA TRANSACTIONS. ISSN 1548-0992, MAR 2018, vol. 16, no. 3, p. 819-822. [WOS]
    --- OZMEN, A. - YILMAZ, Y. - WEBER, G.W. Natural gas consumption forecast with MARS and CMARS models for residential users. ENERGY ECONOMICS. ISSN 0140-9883, FEB 2018, vol. 70, p. 357-381. [WOS]
    Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0164499
     
     
Number of the records: 1  

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