Phenological Response of Flood Plain Forest Ecosystem Species to Climate Change during 1961-2021

0558875 - ÚVGZ 2023 RIV CH eng J - Journal Article
Bartošová, Lenka - Dížková, Petra - Bauerová, J. - Hájková, L. - Fischer, Milan - Balek, Jan - Bláhová, Monika - Možný, M. - Zahradníček, Pavel - Štěpánek, Petr - Žalud, Zdeněk - Trnka, Miroslav
Phenological Response of Flood Plain Forest Ecosystem Species to Climate Change during 1961-2021.
Atmosphere. Roč. 13, č. 6 (2022), č. článku 978. E-ISSN 2073-4433
R&D Projects: GA MŠMT(CZ) EF16_019/0000797
Institutional support: RVO:86652079
Keywords : data quality-control * mismatch * sensitivity * community * match * phenology * asynchrony * mismatch * herbs * shrubs * trees * bird species * overlapping
OECD category: Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)
Impact factor: 2.9, year: 2022
Method of publishing: Open access
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/6/978

The present study analyses 61 years of phenological observations (1961-2021) of five herb, five shrub, four tree, and one bird species representing the prevalent spring species of floodplain forest ecosystems in the Czech Republic, central Europe. The in situ observations were conducted at the Vranovice site (48 degrees 48 ' N, 16 degrees 46 ' E, 170 m above mean sea level) representing the Placek' forest National Reserve. The observed plants and bird species showed statistically significant (p < 0.05) shifts in phenological terms to an earlier date of the year, but the rate of the shift among the observed species differed. The most progressive shifts were detected for the herbs (14 days), followed by the shrubs (13 days), trees (9 days), and finally by the bird species (8 days). All the phenophases were significantly correlated with the daily maximum temperature (r = 0.72-0.91). The results also showed a decline in the correlation for species among the phenophases of the herbs and trees. The phenophases that were highly correlated in the past were less correlated and had higher variability in the last decades. We conclude that the phenological response of the ecosystem to warming in the spring resulted in higher variability and a lower correlation among the observed phenophases mainly caused by the most expressive phenological shifts of the early herbs.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0332373