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Model sensitivity of simulated yield of winter oilseed rape to climate change scenarios in Europe
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SYSNO ASEP 0544717 Document Type J - Journal Article R&D Document Type Journal Article Subsidiary J Článek ve WOS Title Model sensitivity of simulated yield of winter oilseed rape to climate change scenarios in Europe Author(s) Pullens, J. W. M. (DK)
Kersebaum, Kurt Christian (UEK-B) ORCID, SAI, RID
Bottcher, U. (DE)
Kage, H. (JP)
Olesen, Jorgen Eivind (UEK-B) RID, SAI, ORCIDNumber of authors 5 Article number 126341 Source Title European Journal of Agronomy. - : Elsevier - ISSN 1161-0301
Roč. 129, SEP (2021)Number of pages 10 s. Language eng - English Country FR - France Keywords brassica-napus l. ; high-temperature stress ; seed yield ; crop ; growth ; water ; impacts ; weather ; canola ; calibration ; Winter oilseed rape ; Climate change ; Climate adaptation ; Modelling ; Plant traits Subject RIV GC - Agronomy OECD category Agriculture R&D Projects EF16_019/0000797 GA MŠMT - Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports (MEYS) Research Infrastructure CzeCOS III - 90123 - Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR, v. v. i. Method of publishing Open access Institutional support UEK-B - RVO:86652079 UT WOS 000672763400004 EID SCOPUS 85109081392 DOI 10.1016/j.eja.2021.126341 Annotation Winter oilseed rape (WOSR) is Europe's prime oilseed crop and is grown for biofuel and edible oil production. To investigate the effects of climate change on the yield of winter oilseed rape, two crop models (HERMES and HUME-OSR) were used. This study investigated the sensitivity of crop model parameters (as a proxy of plant traits) under climate change. For both models, a global sensitivity analysis was performed under current temperatures, an increase of 2 and 4 degrees C, in combination with50 %,25 %, current, +25 % and +50 % precipitation change, resulting in 15 combinations. The analysis was done for six different sites in Europe located in Germany, France, and the Czech Republic. The two models differ in model formalism, however, results show that the most sensitive parameters of WOSR for both models are associated with drought, both under current climatic conditions, and under changing temperatures and precipitation regimes. The sensitivity analysis shows that the most sensitive parameters for WOSR yield under climate change relate to plant traits affecting the growth of the vegetative phase. Workplace Global Change Research Institute Contact Nikola Šviková, svikova.n@czechglobe.cz, Tel.: 511 192 268 Year of Publishing 2022 Electronic address https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S116103012100112X?via%3Dihub#!
Number of the records: 1