Climate change will increase the naturalization risk from garden plants in Europe

0477792 - BÚ 2018 RIV GB eng J - Journal Article
Dullinger, Y. - Wessely, J. - Bossdorf, O. - Dawson, W. - Essl, F. - Gattringer, A. - Klonner, G. - Kreft, H. - Kuttner, M. - Moser, D. - Pergl, Jan - Pyšek, Petr - Thuiller, W. - van Kleunen, M. - Weigelt, P. - Winter, M. - Dullinger, S.
Climate change will increase the naturalization risk from garden plants in Europe.
Global Ecology and Biogeography. Roč. 26, č. 1 (2017), s. 43-53. ISSN 1466-822X. E-ISSN 1466-8238
R&D Projects: GA ČR(CZ) GAP504/11/1028; GA ČR GB14-36079G
Grant - others:AV ČR(CZ) AP1002
Program: Akademická prémie - Praemium Academiae
Institutional support: RVO:67985939
Keywords : future invasions * ornamental plants * climate change
OECD category: Ecology
Impact factor: 5.958, year: 2017

Under current climate, 165 ornamental plant species would already find suitable conditions in more than 5% of Europe. Although climate change substantially increases the potential range of many species, there are also some that are predicted to lose climatically suitable area under a changing climate, particularly species native to boreal and Mediterranean biomes. Overall, hotspots of naturalization risk defined by climatic suitability alone, or by a combination of climatic suitability and appropriate land cover, are projected to increase by up to 102% or 64%, respectively. Our results suggest that the risk of naturalization of European garden plants will increase with warming climate, and thus it is very likely that the risk of negative impacts from invasion by these plants will also grow. It is therefore crucial to increase awareness of the possibility of biological invasions among horticulturalists, particularly in the face of a warming climate.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0277226