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The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia
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SYSNO ASEP 0539667 Document Type J - Journal Article R&D Document Type Journal Article Subsidiary J Článek ve WOS Title The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia Author(s) Linek, Lukáš (SOU-Z) RID, ORCID, SAI
Gyárfášová, O. (SK)Source Title Politologický časopis. - : Masarykova univerzita - ISSN 1211-3247
Roč. 27, č. 3 (2020), s. 303-322Number of pages 20 s. Publication form Print - P Language eng - English Country CZ - Czech Republic Keywords electoral volatility ; party switching ; Slovak elections Subject RIV AD - Politology ; Political Sciences OECD category Political science R&D Projects GA19-06096S GA ČR - Czech Science Foundation (CSF) Method of publishing Limited access Institutional support SOU-Z - RVO:68378025 UT WOS 000592801300005 EID SCOPUS 85100461707 DOI 10.5817/PC2020-3-303 Annotation This paper analyses electoral volatility in the 2020 Slovak elections at the level of individual voters using exit poll surveys. The availability of exit polls from the previous elections of 2012 and 2016 allows us to put the 2020 election in context and analyse the patterns (and deviances from them) observed across the three elections. Furthermore, the paper summarizes the aggregate volatility since 1992, demonstrating a high level of net volatility with peaks of over 30 percent. As for the individual level, the analysis concentrates on three important issues in volatility research: (1) vote losses of government parties and the incumbent effect, (2) the role of new parties in mobilization of previous non-voters and first-time voters, (3) since Slovakia is a country with a significant Hungarian minority, special attention is given to vote switching by Hungarian voters and more general patterns of ethnic voting. Workplace Institute of Sociology Contact Eva Nechvátalová, eva.nechvatalova@soc.cas.cz, Tel.: 222 220 924 / linka 351 Year of Publishing 2021 Electronic address https://www.politologickycasopis.cz/en/archive/2020/3/
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