Metody odhadu extrémních srážek a jejich aplikace v ČR

0435316 - ÚFA 2015 RIV CZ cze O - Others
Picek, J. - Kyselý, Jan - Gaál, Ladislav
Metody odhadu extrémních srážek a jejich aplikace v ČR.
[Methods for estimation of extreme precipitation and their applications in the Czech Republic.]
Informační bulletin České statistické společnosti. Praha: Česká statistická společnost, 2013. s. 101-116. ISSN 1210-8022
R&D Projects: GA ČR GAP209/10/2045; GA ČR GAP209/10/2265
Institutional support: RVO:68378289
Keywords : precipitation extremes * design values * probable maximum precipitation * regional frequency analysis
Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology
http://www.statspol.cz/cs/wp-content/uploads/2014/4/IB_3_2013.pdf

Příspěvek shrnuje koncepce a metodické postupy, na jejichž základě byla řešena problematika odhadu pravděpodobnosti extrémních srážek a návrhových hodnot v ČR v nedávném období.

The paper summarizes concepts and methods applied in estimation of probabilities of extreme precipitation amounts and design precipitation in the Czech Republic in the recent past. This work was motivated by the occurrence of several extraordinary precipitation events that resulted in floods with enormous material damages, but also by advances in the field of statistical modelling of extremes. The methods that we introduce are split in two main parts: methods for estimation of probable maximum precipitation and methods for estimation of design precipitation using different variants of the regional frequency analysis. In the concluding section several open issues and possible directions of follow-up research and improvements are outlined.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0239184