0577086 - BÚ 2024 RIV NL eng J - Journal Article
Puchałka, R. - Paź-Dyderska, S. - Dylewski, L. - Czortek, P. - Vítková, Michaela - Sádlo, Jiří - Klisz, M. - Koniakin, S. - Čarni, A. - Rašomavičius, V. - De Sanctis, M. - Dyderski, M. K.
Forest herb species with similar European geographic ranges may respond differently to climate change.
Science of the Total Environment. Roč. 905, 20 December (2023), č. článku 167303. ISSN 0048-9697. E-ISSN 1879-1026
R&D Projects: GA ČR GF23-05403K
Institutional support: RVO:67985939
Keywords : climate change * forest understorey * herbaceous plants
OECD category: Plant sciences, botany
Impact factor: 8.2, year: 2023
Method of publishing: Limited access
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167303

Using MaxEnt species distribution models and future climate change scenarios we found that theprecipitation of the warmest quarter was the most important factor shaping ranges of common geophytes of the nemoral zone of Europe (Anemone nemorosa, Anemone ranunculoides, Convallaria majalis and Maianthemum bifolium). All species studied will experience more loss in the 2061–2080 period than in 2041–2060, and under more pessimistic scenarios. M. bifolium will experience the highest loss, followed by A. nemorosa, A. ranunculoides, and the smallest for C. majalis. A. ranunculoides will gain the most, while M. bifolium will have the smallest potential range expansion. Studied species may respond differently to climate change despite similar current distributions and climatic variables affecting their potential distribution. Even slight differences in climatic niches could reduce the overlap of future ranges compared to present. We expect that due to high dependence on the warmest quarter precipitation, summer droughts in the future may be particularly severe for species that prefer moist soils. The lack of adaptation to long-distance migration and limited availability of appropriate soils may limit their migration and lead to a decline in biodiversity and changes in European forests.
Permanent Link: https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0352193