0380341 - ÚFA 2013 RIV NL eng J - Journal Article
Kyselý, Jan - Beguería, S. - Beranová, Romana - Gaál, Ladislav - López-Moreno, J. I.
Different patterns of climate change scenarios for short-term and multi-day precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean.
Global and Planetary Change. 98-99, December (2012), s. 63-72. ISSN 0921-8181. E-ISSN 1872-6364
R&D Projects: GA ČR GAP209/10/2265
Institutional support: RVO:68378289
Keywords : climate change * precipitation extremes * regional climate models * extreme value analysis * Mediterranean
Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology
Impact factor: 3.155, year: 2012
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.06.010

The study examines climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes over the Mediterranean in an ensemble of high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the ENSEMBLES project. Precipitation extremes are considered at a wide range of time scales from hourly to multi-day amounts and in individual seasons. We evaluate dependence of the results on the time scale of precipitation aggregation, seasonal differences, and uncertainties of the scenarios related to differences amongst the RCM simulations. Projected increases in short-term extremes exceed those of daily and multi-day extremes, and occur even in regions and seasons in which mean precipitation is projected to decline.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0211072