Expected changes in agroclimatic conditions in Central Europe

0367504 - ÚFA 2012 RIV NL eng J - Journal Article
Trnka, M. - Eitzinger, J. - Semerádová, D. - Hlavinka, P. - Balek, J. - Dubrovský, Martin - Kubu, G. - Štěpánek, P. - Thaler, S. - Možný, M. - Žalud, Z.
Expected changes in agroclimatic conditions in Central Europe.
Climatic Change. Roč. 108, 1-2 (2011), s. 261-289. ISSN 0165-0009. E-ISSN 1573-1480
R&D Projects: GA AV ČR IAA300420806
Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z30420517
Keywords : CLIMATE-CHANGE * SOIL WORKABILITY * GROWING-SEASON * VARIABILITY * MODEL * AGRICULTURE * MOISTURE * IMPACTS * DROUGHT * UNCERTAINTIES
Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology
Impact factor: 3.385, year: 2011
http://www.springerlink.com/content/y3j081l87j258848/fulltext.pdf

During the past few decades, the basic assumption of agroclimatic zoning, i.e., that agroclimatic conditions remain relatively stable, has been shattered by ongoing climate change. The first aim of this study was to develop a tool that would allow for effective analysis of various agroclimatic indicators and their dynamics under climate change conditions for a particular region. The results of this effort were summarized in the AgriClim software package, which provides users with a wide range of parameters essential for the evaluation of climate-related stress factors in agricultural crop production. The software was then tested over an area of 114,000 km(2) in Central Europe. We have found that by 2020, the combination of increased air temperature and changes in the amount and distribution of precipitation will lead to a prolonged growing season and significant shifts in the agroclimatic zones in Central Europe.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0202160