Statistical Modeling of Energy Production by Photovoltaic Farms

0346898 - ÚI 2012 RIV US eng C - Conference Paper (international conference)
Brabec, Marek - Pelikán, Emil - Krč, Pavel - Eben, Kryštof - Musílek, P.
Statistical Modeling of Energy Production by Photovoltaic Farms.
Electrical Power and Energy Conference "Sustainable Energy for an Intelligent Grid". Piscataway: IEEE, 2010, s. 1-6. ISBN 978-1-4244-8186-6.
[EPEC 2010. Electrical Power and Energy Conference. Halifax (CA), 25.08.2010-27.08.2010]
Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10300504
Keywords : electrical energy, solar energy * numerical weather prediction model * statistical model * nonparametric regression * inflated beta regression
Subject RIV: JE - Non-nuclear Energetics, Energy Consumption ; Use

This paper introduces several alternative statistical approaches to modeling and prediction of electric energy generated by photovoltaic farms. The statistical models use outputs of a numerical weather prediction model as their inputs. Presented statistical models allow for easy-to-compute predictions, both in temporal sense and for out-of-sample individual farms. Model performance is illustrated on a sample of real photovoltaic farms located in the Czech Republic.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0187804