Uncovered interest rate parity through the lens of fractal methods: Evidence from the European Union

0522061 - ÚTIA 2021 RIV NL eng J - Journal Article
Ferreira, P. - Krištoufek, Ladislav
Uncovered interest rate parity through the lens of fractal methods: Evidence from the European Union.
Physica. A : Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. Roč. 553, č. 1 (2020), č. článku 124257. ISSN 0378-4371. E-ISSN 1873-2119
R&D Projects: GA ČR(CZ) GJ17-12386Y
Institutional support: RVO:67985556
Keywords : uncovered interest rate parity * detrended cross-correlation analysis * detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis
OECD category: Applied Economics, Econometrics
Impact factor: 3.263, year: 2020
Method of publishing: Limited access
http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2020/E/kristoufek-0522061.pdf https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437120300698

We study the uncovered interest rate parity in the European Union utilising the newly proposed regression frameworks based on the detrended cross-correlation analysis and the detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis. The parity is analysed for three groups – the early Euro adopters, the later adopters, and the EU countries that are outside of the Eurozone. The main contributions of our study are twofold. First, we have analysed a large dataset that is not standard in the topical applied papers. And second, the utilised methods have allowed us to focus on possible differences between the short-term and long- term relationships between the interest rate differentials and foreign exchange rates that form the parity. Overall, the evidence for the parity is scarce, which is in hand with most of the previous studies. However, we have also uncovered some interesting patterns in the results and we provide an additional discussion of possible causes and directions for future research.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0307298