Which sanctions matter? Analysis of the EU/Russian sanctions of 2014

0505231 - NHU-C 2020 RIV GB eng V - Research Report
Bělín, Matěj - Hanousek, Jan
Which sanctions matter? Analysis of the EU/Russian sanctions of 2014.
London: Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2019. 23 s. CEPR discussion paper series, 13549. ISSN 0265-8003
R&D Projects: GA MŠMT(CZ) SVV260475
Institutional support: Progres-Q24
Keywords : bilateral trade flows * differences-in-differences * international trade
OECD category: Applied Economics, Econometrics
https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=13549#

In this paper we use a natural experiment of reciprocal imposition of trade sanctions by Russia and the EU since 2014. Using UNCTAD/BACI bilateral flows data we take this unique opportunity to analyse both sanctions. In particular, we study the effectiveness of narrow versus broadly defined sanctions, and differences in the effectiveness of sanctions imposed on exports and imports. We show that the Russian sanctions imposed on European and American food imports resulted in about 8 times stronger decline in trade flows than those imposed by the EU and the US on exports of extraction equipment. These results do not appear to be driven by diversion of trade flows via non-sanctioning countries. Hence the difference in sanctions' effectiveness can be attributed to the broader range of sanctioned goods and potentially to a stronger position of enforcement of sanctions on imports rather than exports.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0296714