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Dynamic elections and ideological polarization

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    0481444 - NHÚ 2018 RIV US eng J - Journal Article
    Nunnari, S. - Zápal, Jan
    Dynamic elections and ideological polarization.
    Political Analysis. Roč. 25, č. 4 (2017), s. 505-534. ISSN 1047-1987. E-ISSN 1476-4989
    Institutional support: RVO:67985998
    Keywords : elections * political polarization
    OECD category: Economic Theory
    Impact factor: 2.594, year: 2017

    How does political polarization affect the welfare of the electorate? We analyze this question using a framework in which two policy and office motivated parties compete in an infinite sequence of elections. We propose two novel measures to describe the degree of conflict among agents: antagonism is the disagreement between parties, extremism is the disagreement between each party and the representative voter. These two measures do not coincide when parties care about multiple issues. We show that forward-looking parties have an incentive to implement policies favored by the representative voter, in an attempt to constrain future challengers. This incentive grows as antagonism increases. On the other hand, extremism decreases the electorate’s welfare. We discuss the methodological and empirical implications for the existing measures of political actors’ ideal points and for the debate on elite polarization.
    Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0277003

     
     
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