Global Change & Ecosystems

0470796 - ÚVGZ 2017 RIV CZ eng M - Monography Chapter
Štěpánek, Petr - Zahradníček, Pavel - Farda, Aleš - Skalák, Petr - Trnka, Miroslav - Meitner, Jan - Rajdl, Kamil
Climate projections for the Czech Republic based on Euro-CORDEX simulations.
Global Change & Ecosystems. Volume 2. Brno: Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR, v. v.i., 2016 - (Vačkář, D.; Janouš, D.), s. 38-48. ISBN 978-80-87902-17-2
R&D Projects: GA MŠMT(CZ) LO1415
Institutional support: RVO:67179843
Keywords : Euro-CORDEX simulations * model bias correction * climate change * impact studies for the Czech Republic
Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology

Within the finished CzechAdapt project (www.czechadapt.cz), projections based on the latest climate
model simulations were analyzed and a material was prepared to provide input to and support for adaptation
strategies in various fields (e.g. forestry, agriculture, hydrology). Both GCMs (global climate models)
and RCMs (regional climate models) were analyzed within the project. In this contribution we focus on the
latest RCMs available from the Euro-CORDEX project based on 0.11 degree resolutions and covering the
European area. For these model experiments, the following greenhouse gas emission scenarios have been
used: RCP 4.5 (milder scenario) and RCP 8.5 (pessimistic scenario). Since the climate models suffer from
potentially severe biases, it has been necessary to statistically correct their outputs. For this purpose, a suitable
reference dataset has been prepared, based on quality controlled, homogenized and gap-filled station
time series. The correction method applied was based on variable corrections using individual percentiles.
From the corrected model outputs, various indices were calculated, describing the future climate both in
time and space. The outputs can serve as a basis for subsequent impact studies.
Permanent Link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0268349