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On Identifiability of BN2A Networks

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Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty (ECSQARU 2023)

Abstract

In this paper, we consider two-layer Bayesian networks. The first layer consists of hidden (unobservable) variables and the second layer consists of observed variables. All variables are assumed to be binary. The variables in the second layer depend on the variables in the first layer. The dependence is characterised by conditional probability tables representing Noisy-AND or simple Noisy-AND. We will refer to this class of models as BN2A models. We found that the models known in the Bayesian network community as Noisy-AND and simple Noisy-AND are also used in the cognitive diagnostic modelling known in the psychometric community under the names of RRUM and DINA, respectively. In this domain, the hidden variables of BN2A models correspond to skills and the observed variables to students’ responses to test questions. In this paper we analyse the identifiability of these models. Identifiability is an important concept because without it we cannot hope to learn correct models. We present necessary conditions for the identifiability of BN2As with Noisy-AND models. We also propose and test a numerical approach for testing identifiability.

This work was supported by grants 22-11101S and 21-03658S of the Czech Science Foundation.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Symbol \(\textbf{x}_{pa(\ell )}\) denotes the subvector of \(\textbf{x}\) whose values corresponds to variables \(X_i, i \in pa(Y_{\ell })\).

  2. 2.

    The set of exceptions has Lebesgue measure zero.

  3. 3.

    We do not claim that this list is exclusive.

  4. 4.

    We emphasize that there is no hope of getting correct results with finite-precision real arithmetic since, e.g., in one run, the absolute values of the computed determinants were in the interval \([10^{-37},10^{-72}]\) for this model.

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Correspondence to Jiří Vomlel .

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Pérez, I., Vomlel, J. (2024). On Identifiability of BN2A Networks. In: Bouraoui, Z., Vesic, S. (eds) Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty. ECSQARU 2023. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 14294. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-45608-4_11

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-45608-4_11

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