Počet záznamů: 1
Spatial modelling of summer climate indices based on local climate zones: expected changes in the future climate of Brno, Czech Republic
- 1.
SYSNO ASEP 0499866 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název Spatial modelling of summer climate indices based on local climate zones: expected changes in the future climate of Brno, Czech Republic Tvůrce(i) Geletič, Jan (UIVT-O) RID, ORCID, SAI
Lehnert, M. (CZ)
Dobrovolný, Petr (UEK-B) RID, ORCID, SAI
Žuvela-Aloise, M. (AT)Celkový počet autorů 4 Zdroj.dok. Climatic Change. - : Springer - ISSN 0165-0009
Roč. 152, 3-4 (2019), s. 487-502Poč.str. 16 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. NL - Nizozemsko Klíč. slova urban heat load ; large-eddy simulation ; temperature observations ; change impacts ; euro-cordex ; cities ; health ; scheme ; city ; variability Vědní obor RIV DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie Obor OECD Meteorology and atmospheric sciences CEP LO1415 GA MŠMT - Ministerstvo školství, mládeže a tělovýchovy Způsob publikování Omezený přístup Institucionální podpora UIVT-O - RVO:67985807 ; UEK-B - RVO:86652079 UT WOS 000462907000011 EID SCOPUS 85059623227 DOI 10.1007/s10584-018-2353-5 Anotace With global climate change ongoing, there is growing concern about future living conditions in urban areas. This contribution presents the modelled spatial distribution of two daytime (summer days, hot days), and two night-time (warm nights and tropical nights) summer climate indices in the recent and future climate of the urban environment of Brno, Czech Republic, within the framework of local climate zones (LCZs). The thermodynamic MUKLIMO_3 model combined with the CUBOID method is used for spatial modelling. Climate indices are calculated from measurements over three periods (1961–1990, 1971–2000 and 1981–2010). The EURO-CORDEX database for two periods (2021–2050 and 2071–2100) and three representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios (2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) are employed to indicate future climate. The results show that the values of summer climate indices will significantly increase in the twenty-first century. In all LCZs, the increase per RCP 8.5 scenario is substantially more pronounced than scenarios per RCP 2.6 and 4.5. Our results indicate that a higher absolute increment in the number of hot days, warm nights and tropical nights is to be expected in already warmer, densely populated midrise and/or compact developments (LCZs 2, 3 and 5) in contrast to a substantially lower increment for forested areas (LCZ A). Considering the projected growth of summer climate indices and the profound differences that exist between LCZs, this study draws urgent attention to the importance of urban planning that works towards moderating the increasing heat stress in central European cities. Pracoviště Ústav informatiky Kontakt Tereza Šírová, sirova@cs.cas.cz, Tel.: 266 053 800 Rok sběru 2020 Elektronická adresa http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2353-5
Počet záznamů: 1