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What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 °C? A model-based assessment
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SYSNO ASEP 0361675 Druh ASEP J - Článek v odborném periodiku Zařazení RIV J - Článek v odborném periodiku Poddruh J Článek ve WOS Název What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 °C? A model-based assessment Tvůrce(i) Rötter, R.P. (FI)
Palosuo, T. (FI)
Pirttioja, N. K. (FI)
Dubrovský, Martin (UFA-U) RID, ORCID
Salo, T. (FI)
Fronzek, S. (FI)
Aikasalo, R. (FI)
Trnka, M. (CZ)
Ristolainen, A. (FI)
Carter, T. R. (FI)Zdroj.dok. European Journal of Agronomy. - : Elsevier - ISSN 1161-0301
Roč. 35, č. 4 (2011), s. 205-214Poč.str. 10 s. Jazyk dok. eng - angličtina Země vyd. NL - Nizozemsko Klíč. slova Barley ; Crop growth simulation ; Climatic variability ; Sensitivity analysis ; Plant breeding ; Weather generator Vědní obor RIV DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie CEP IAA300420806 GA AV ČR - Akademie věd CEZ AV0Z30420517 - UFA-U, BC-A (2005-2011) UT WOS 000294657500002 DOI 10.1016/j.eja.2011.06.003 Anotace With the rapid increases in temperature at high latitudes, conditions for crop production could change so dramatically that yields would be reduced, even accounting for the positive effects of CO2 fertilization. We use the WOFOST crop model to examine crop yield responses to a set of plausible climate change scenarios for Finland up to 2100 We use spring barley and calculate water-limited yields for two Finnish locations and two soil types. Scenarios include systematic increases in temperatures, changes in precipitation distribution and altered daily climatic variability using the M&Rfi weather generator. We also examine the effectiveness of a few adaptation options, such as shifts in sowing dates and hypothetical new crop cultivars. It is concluded that the positive effects of warming and elevated CO2 on cereal production at high latitudes are likely to be reversed at temperature increases exceeding 4 ºC. Only plant breeding efforts hold may reduce the risks of yield shortfall. Pracoviště Ústav fyziky atmosféry Kontakt Kateřina Adamovičová, adamovicova@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 012 ; Kateřina Potužníková, kaca@ufa.cas.cz, Tel.: 272 016 019 Rok sběru 2012 Elektronická adresa http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1161030111000694
Počet záznamů: 1