Počet záznamů: 1
Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models
- 1.0368524 - ÚFA 2012 RIV AT eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Kyselý, Jan - Gaál, Ladislav - Beranová, Romana - Plavcová, Eva
Climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes in Central Europe from ENSEMBLES regional climate models.
Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Roč. 104, 3-4 (2011), s. 529-542. ISSN 0177-798X. E-ISSN 1434-4483
Grant CEP: GA ČR GAP209/10/2265
GRANT EU: European Commission(XE) 505539 - ENSEMBLES
Výzkumný záměr: CEZ:AV0Z30420517
Klíčová slova: precipitation extremes * regional climate models * ENSEMBLES * climate change * region-of-influence method
Kód oboru RIV: DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie
Impakt faktor: 1.942, rok: 2011
http://www.springerlink.com/content/95wj1140307nu5k7/fulltext.pdf
Future scenarios of precipitation extremes over Central Europe are examined in an ensemble of 12 regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the European project ENSEMBLES. We apply the region-of-influence method as a pooling scheme when estimating distributions of extremes. Most RCMs simulate increases in high quantiles of precipitation amounts for the late-21st century (2070-99) climate in both winter and summer. Although a qualitative agreement of the models concerning the projected changes of precipitation extremes is found in both winter and summer, the uncertainties in climate change scenarios remain large.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0202847
Počet záznamů: 1