Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests at a high spatial resolution: a novel approach

0367652 - ÚFA 2012 RIV GB eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Kocmánková, E. - Trnka, M. - Eitzinger, J. - Dubrovský, Martin - Štěpánek, P. - Semerádová, D. - Balek, J. - Skalák, P. - Farda, A. - Juroch, J. - Žalud, Z.
Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests at a high spatial resolution: a novel approach.
Journal of Agricultural Science. Roč. 149, - (2011), s. 185-195. ISSN 0021-8596. E-ISSN 1469-5146
Výzkumný záměr: CEZ:AV0Z30420517
Klíčová slova: COLORADO-POTATO BEETLE * NILOTICA SSP INDICA * POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTIONS * BIOLOGICAL-CONTROL * CHANGE SCENARIOS * ENVELOPE * MODEL * LEPIDOPTERA * BUTTERFLIES * AUSTRALIA
Kód oboru RIV: DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie
Impakt faktor: 2.041, rok: 2011
http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=8025043

The present study is focused on the potential occurrence of the Colorado potato beetle (Leptinotarsa decemlineata, Say 1824), an important potato pest, and the European corn borer (Ostrinia nubilalis, Hübner 1796), the most important maize pest, during climate change. Estimates of the current potential distribution of both pest species as well as their distribution in the expected climate conditions are based on the CLIMEX model. The study covers central Europe, including Austria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and parts of Germany, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Switzerland, Ukraine, Slovenia, the northern parts of Serbia, parts of Croatia and northern Italy. The validated model of the pests’ geographical distribution was applied within the domain of the regional climate model (RCM) ALADIN, at a resolution of 10 km. The weather series that was the input for the CLIMEX model was prepared by a weather generator (WG) which was calibrated with the RCM-simulated weather series (for the period of 1961–90).
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0202246