Statistical Modeling of Energy Production by Photovoltaic Farms

0365781 - ÚI 2012 RIV US eng J - Článek v odborném periodiku
Brabec, Marek - Pelikán, Emil - Krč, Pavel - Eben, Kryštof - Musílek, P.
Statistical Modeling of Energy Production by Photovoltaic Farms.
Journal of Energy and Power Engineering. Roč. 5, č. 9 (2011), s. 785-793. ISSN 1934-8975
Grant ostatní: GA AV ČR(CZ) M100300904
Výzkumný záměr: CEZ:AV0Z10300504
Klíčová slova: electrical energy * solar energy * numerical weather prediction model * nonparametric regression * beta regression
Kód oboru RIV: BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum

This paper introduces several alternative statistical approaches to modeling and prediction of electric energy generated by photovoltaic farms. The statistical models use outputs of a numerical weather prediction model as their inputs. Presented statistical models allow for easy-to-compute predictions, both in temporal sense and for out-of-sample individual farms. Model performance is illustrated on a sample of real photovoltaic farms located in the Czech Republic.
Trvalý link: http://hdl.handle.net/11104/0200942